Question
Customers arrive at a shop according to the Poisson distribution with a mean of 10 customers/hour. The manager notes that no customer arrives for the first 3 minutes after the shop opens. The probability that a customer arrives within the next 3 minutes is
Options :
0.86
0.61
0.50
0.39
Answer :
0.39
Solution :
Customers arrive at a shop according to the Poisson distribution with a mean of 10 customers/hour.
⇒ λ = 10 customers/60 min = 1 customer/6 min = 1/6 customers per minute;
The manager notes that no customer arrives for the first 3 minutes after the shop opens,
⇒ t = 3 min and n = 0;
From the Poisson’s PMF,
The probability of zero customers in 3 minutes will be
Now,
The probability that the customer arrives in the next 3 minutes = 1 - P(0)
∴ The probability that the customer arrives in the next 3 minutes = 1 - 0.606
∴ The probability that the customer arrives in the next 3 minutes = 0.39
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